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Projected Effects of a Proposal to Credit Earnings to Caregivers' Records
Details: Up to 5 years at one-half average wage when caring for children under age 6
Table user guide | Projection methodology | All options comparison | Related research
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security benefits at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefit decrease | Benefit increase |
10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Male | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 1% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Other countries | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
70–79 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
80–89 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
90 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 1% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Divorced | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Widowed | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Never married | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Bachelor | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Associate | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
High school | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Less than high school | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
In poverty | 0% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 1% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second highest | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Middle | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Second lowest | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Lowest | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security benefits at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefit decrease | Benefit increase |
10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 1% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 1% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Male | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 1% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
White, non-Hispanic | 1% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 1% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 1% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Other countries | 1% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
70–79 | 1% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
80–89 | 1% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
90 or older | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 1% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Divorced | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Widowed | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Never married | 0% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 1% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Bachelor | 1% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Associate | 1% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
High school | 1% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Less than high school | 1% | 50% | 0% | 1% | 24% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 1% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
In poverty | 0% | 61% | 0% | 7% | 64% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 1% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Second highest | 1% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Middle | 1% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Second lowest | 0% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Lowest | 0% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 9% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security benefits at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefit decrease | Benefit increase |
10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 1% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 1% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Male | 0% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 1% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
White, non-Hispanic | 1% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 1% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 1% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 1% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Other countries | 1% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 16% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
70–79 | 1% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
80–89 | 1% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
90 or older | 1% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 1% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Divorced | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Widowed | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Never married | 0% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 1% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Bachelor | 1% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Associate | 1% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
High school | 1% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Less than high school | 1% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 28% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 1% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
In poverty | 0% | 66% | 0% | 21% | 83% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 1% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Second highest | 1% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Middle | 1% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Second lowest | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Lowest | 0% | 51% | 0% | 1% | 33% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 9% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 19% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security taxes paid at the— | Change in taxes paid (in 2021$) at the— |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tax decrease | Tax increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Male | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Country of birth | ||||||||
United States | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Other countries | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Age | ||||||||
31–39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
40–49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
50–59 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
60–69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
70 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Marital status | ||||||||
Married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Divorced | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Widowed | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Never married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Highest education level | ||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Bachelor | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Associate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
High school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Less than high school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law household income quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law payroll taxes quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security taxes paid at the— | Change in taxes paid (in 2021$) at the— |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tax decrease | Tax increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Male | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Country of birth | ||||||||
United States | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Other countries | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Age | ||||||||
31–39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
40–49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
50–59 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
60–69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
70 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Marital status | ||||||||
Married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Divorced | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Widowed | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Never married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Highest education level | ||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Bachelor | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Associate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
High school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Less than high school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law household income quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law payroll taxes quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security taxes paid at the— | Change in taxes paid (in 2021$) at the— |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tax decrease | Tax increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Male | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Country of birth | ||||||||
United States | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Other countries | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Age | ||||||||
31–39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
40–49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
50–59 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
60–69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
70 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Marital status | ||||||||
Married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Divorced | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Widowed | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Never married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Highest education level | ||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Bachelor | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Associate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
High school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Less than high school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law household income quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law payroll taxes quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with an— |
Percent change in household income at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income decrease | Income increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Male | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Other countries | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
70–79 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
80–89 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
90 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Divorced | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Widowed | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Never married | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Bachelor | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Associate | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
High school | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Less than high school | 1% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
In poverty | 1% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second highest | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second lowest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Lowest | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with an— |
Percent change in household income at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income decrease | Income increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 1% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Male | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 1% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 1% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Other countries | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 1% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
70–79 | 1% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
80–89 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
90 or older | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 1% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Divorced | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Widowed | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Never married | 1% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Bachelor | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Associate | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
High school | 1% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Less than high school | 1% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
In poverty | 4% | 52% | 0% | 1% | 31% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second highest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Middle | 0% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Second lowest | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Lowest | 1% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 2% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with an— |
Percent change in household income at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income decrease | Income increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Male | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 1% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Other countries | 1% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
70–79 | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
80–89 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
90 or older | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 1% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Divorced | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Widowed | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Never married | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Bachelor | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Associate | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
High school | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Less than high school | 1% | 39% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
In poverty | 2% | 61% | 0% | 10% | 54% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second highest | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Middle | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Second lowest | 0% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Lowest | 1% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 16% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 2% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Official poverty rate | Number of population in poverty (in thousands) |
Percent change in the number in poverty | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Without proposal | With proposal | Without proposal | With proposal | Change | ||
Total | 5% | 4% | 3,237 | 3,137 | -100 | -3% |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 5% | 5% | 1,787 | 1,732 | -54 | -3% |
Male | 4% | 4% | 1,450 | 1,405 | -45 | -3% |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 7% | 7% | 570 | 550 | -19 | -3% |
White, non-Hispanic | 3% | 3% | 1,804 | 1,757 | -47 | -2% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 9% | 8% | 636 | 612 | -23 | -3% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 6% | 5% | 228 | 217 | -10 | -4% |
Country of birth | ||||||
United States | 4% | 4% | 2,472 | 2,393 | -79 | -3% |
Other countries | 7% | 7% | 765 | 744 | -20 | -2% |
Age | ||||||
60–69 | 6% | 6% | 1,486 | 1,413 | -72 | -4% |
70–79 | 4% | 4% | 1,318 | 1,290 | -27 | -2% |
80–89 | 3% | 3% | 381 | 380 | 0 | 0% |
90 or older | 2% | 2% | 53 | 53 | 0 | 0% |
Marital status | ||||||
Married | 1% | 1% | 469 | 455 | -14 | -3% |
Divorced | 9% | 9% | 1,207 | 1,146 | -61 | -5% |
Widowed | 6% | 6% | 740 | 725 | -14 | -2% |
Never married | 16% | 16% | 821 | 811 | -9 | -1% |
Highest education level | ||||||
Graduate | 1% | 1% | 97 | 91 | -5 | -5% |
Bachelor | 2% | 2% | 263 | 261 | -2 | 0% |
Associate | 4% | 4% | 626 | 588 | -38 | -6% |
High school | 6% | 6% | 1,534 | 1,501 | -33 | -2% |
Less than high school | 12% | 12% | 717 | 696 | -21 | -2% |
Current-law poverty status | ||||||
Above poverty | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | . . . |
In poverty | 100% | 97% | 3,237 | 3,137 | -100 | -3% |
Current-law benefit type | ||||||
Retired worker only | 4% | 4% | 2,252 | 2,182 | -69 | -3% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 5% | 5% | 577 | 564 | -12 | -2% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 2% | 2% | 145 | 135 | -9 | -6% |
Disabled worker only | 10% | 9% | 263 | 255 | -8 | -3% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
. . . = not applicable.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Official poverty rate | Number of population in poverty (in thousands) |
Percent change in the number in poverty | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Without proposal | With proposal | Without proposal | With proposal | Change | ||
Total | 4% | 3% | 3,309 | 2,754 | -554 | -16% |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 4% | 3% | 1,862 | 1,542 | -320 | -17% |
Male | 4% | 3% | 1,447 | 1,212 | -234 | -16% |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 6% | 5% | 897 | 748 | -148 | -16% |
White, non-Hispanic | 3% | 2% | 1,472 | 1,272 | -199 | -13% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 8% | 6% | 679 | 532 | -146 | -21% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 4% | 3% | 261 | 201 | -59 | -22% |
Country of birth | ||||||
United States | 4% | 3% | 2,260 | 1,884 | -376 | -16% |
Other countries | 6% | 5% | 1,048 | 870 | -178 | -17% |
Age | ||||||
60–69 | 5% | 4% | 1,277 | 1,046 | -230 | -18% |
70–79 | 4% | 3% | 1,105 | 892 | -212 | -19% |
80–89 | 3% | 3% | 734 | 629 | -104 | -14% |
90 or older | 3% | 2% | 193 | 186 | -6 | -3% |
Marital status | ||||||
Married | 1% | 1% | 457 | 345 | -111 | -24% |
Divorced | 6% | 5% | 948 | 761 | -187 | -19% |
Widowed | 5% | 4% | 750 | 653 | -97 | -12% |
Never married | 12% | 10% | 1,154 | 995 | -158 | -13% |
Highest education level | ||||||
Graduate | 1% | 1% | 91 | 63 | -27 | -30% |
Bachelor | 2% | 1% | 280 | 232 | -48 | -17% |
Associate | 3% | 2% | 555 | 470 | -85 | -15% |
High school | 6% | 5% | 1,549 | 1,283 | -266 | -17% |
Less than high school | 11% | 9% | 834 | 707 | -126 | -15% |
Current-law benefit type | ||||||
Retired worker only | 4% | 3% | 2,500 | 2,088 | -412 | -16% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 4% | 4% | 498 | 440 | -58 | -11% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 1% | 1% | 99 | 81 | -17 | -17% |
Disabled worker only | 6% | 4% | 212 | 145 | -66 | -31% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Official poverty rate | Number of population in poverty (in thousands) |
Percent change in the number in poverty | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Without proposal | With proposal | Without proposal | With proposal | Change | ||
Total | 3% | 2% | 2,425 | 1,703 | -721 | -29% |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 3% | 2% | 1,304 | 925 | -378 | -29% |
Male | 2% | 2% | 1,121 | 778 | -342 | -30% |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 3% | 2% | 769 | 550 | -219 | -28% |
White, non-Hispanic | 2% | 1% | 1,009 | 753 | -256 | -25% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 4% | 3% | 392 | 251 | -141 | -35% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 3% | 2% | 254 | 150 | -104 | -40% |
Country of birth | ||||||
United States | 2% | 2% | 1,586 | 1,154 | -432 | -27% |
Other countries | 4% | 3% | 839 | 549 | -289 | -34% |
Age | ||||||
60–69 | 3% | 2% | 795 | 541 | -253 | -31% |
70–79 | 3% | 2% | 906 | 634 | -272 | -30% |
80–89 | 3% | 2% | 585 | 422 | -162 | -27% |
90 or older | 2% | 1% | 139 | 107 | -32 | -23% |
Marital status | ||||||
Married | 1% | 0% | 292 | 190 | -102 | -34% |
Divorced | 3% | 2% | 613 | 406 | -206 | -33% |
Widowed | 3% | 2% | 473 | 298 | -174 | -36% |
Never married | 6% | 5% | 1,046 | 809 | -237 | -22% |
Highest education level | ||||||
Graduate | 1% | 1% | 156 | 114 | -41 | -26% |
Bachelor | 1% | 1% | 218 | 149 | -69 | -31% |
Associate | 2% | 1% | 405 | 296 | -108 | -26% |
High school | 4% | 3% | 1,033 | 746 | -287 | -27% |
Less than high school | 6% | 4% | 613 | 399 | -214 | -34% |
Current-law poverty status | ||||||
Above poverty | 0% | 0% | 0 | 22 | 22 | . . . |
In poverty | 100% | 69% | 2,425 | 1,681 | -743 | -30% |
Current-law benefit type | ||||||
Retired worker only | 3% | 2% | 1,958 | 1,416 | -542 | -27% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 2% | 2% | 321 | 206 | -114 | -35% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 1% | 0% | 41 | 28 | -12 | -29% |
Disabled worker only | 3% | 1% | 105 | 53 | -52 | -49% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
. . . = not applicable.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in benefit/tax ratio at the— | Benefit/tax ratio without proposal at the— |
Benefit/tax ratio with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio decrease | Ratio increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 127% | 397% | 9% | 130% | 431% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 23% | 159% | 562% | 31% | 164% | 591% |
Male | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 105% | 239% | 0% | 106% | 259% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 141% | 506% | 0% | 149% | 590% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 14% | 122% | 359% | 15% | 124% | 379% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 131% | 410% | 0% | 135% | 437% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 132% | 493% | 0% | 139% | 551% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 123% | 363% | 13% | 124% | 380% |
Other countries | 0% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 144% | 525% | 0% | 156% | 632% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 24% | 113% | 245% | 25% | 114% | 255% |
Bachelor | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 25% | 120% | 324% | 29% | 121% | 346% |
Associate | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 16% | 127% | 340% | 19% | 129% | 364% |
High school | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 133% | 475% | 0% | 136% | 496% |
Less than high school | 0% | 39% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 141% | 718% | 0% | 156% | 793% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 93% | 136% | 36% | 93% | 136% |
Second highest | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 118% | 175% | 21% | 118% | 176% |
Middle | 0% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 10% | 140% | 234% | 10% | 142% | 237% |
Second lowest | 0% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 23% | 205% | 444% | 23% | 214% | 452% |
Lowest | 0% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 0% | 228% | 1,369% | 0% | 283% | 1,455% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 94% | 134% | 40% | 94% | 134% |
Second highest | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 118% | 173% | 23% | 118% | 173% |
Middle | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 16% | 141% | 235% | 17% | 143% | 238% |
Second lowest | 0% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 18% | 193% | 403% | 19% | 199% | 408% |
Lowest | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 0% | 270% | 1,384% | 0% | 334% | 1,464% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 47% | 101% | 169% | 47% | 101% | 170% |
Second highest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 33% | 118% | 237% | 33% | 119% | 239% |
Middle | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 15% | 136% | 314% | 15% | 137% | 320% |
Second lowest | 0% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 9% | 165% | 490% | 9% | 170% | 498% |
Lowest | 0% | 38% | 0% | 1% | 29% | 0% | 183% | 1,028% | 0% | 221% | 1,093% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in benefit/tax ratio at the— | Benefit/tax ratio without proposal at the— |
Benefit/tax ratio with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio decrease | Ratio increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 119% | 375% | 0% | 124% | 446% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 143% | 532% | 12% | 152% | 622% |
Male | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 101% | 258% | 0% | 105% | 305% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 128% | 410% | 0% | 139% | 543% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 14% | 118% | 372% | 20% | 121% | 410% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 111% | 323% | 0% | 118% | 402% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 106% | 410% | 0% | 119% | 570% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 118% | 342% | 12% | 121% | 375% |
Other countries | 0% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 35% | 0% | 121% | 521% | 0% | 140% | 711% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 21% | 105% | 271% | 26% | 106% | 296% |
Bachelor | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 107% | 291% | 10% | 112% | 342% |
Associate | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 120% | 329% | 6% | 123% | 366% |
High school | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 130% | 483% | 0% | 137% | 555% |
Less than high school | 0% | 39% | 0% | 1% | 38% | 0% | 126% | 612% | 0% | 148% | 751% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 37% | 87% | 124% | 37% | 87% | 124% |
Second highest | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 34% | 117% | 176% | 35% | 117% | 177% |
Middle | 0% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 28% | 145% | 258% | 28% | 147% | 261% |
Second lowest | 0% | 55% | 0% | 4% | 18% | 0% | 204% | 522% | 0% | 221% | 546% |
Lowest | 0% | 34% | 0% | 3% | 70% | 0% | 122% | 1,803% | 0% | 234% | 2,169% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 88% | 125% | 40% | 88% | 125% |
Second highest | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 36% | 117% | 178% | 37% | 118% | 180% |
Middle | 0% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 29% | 144% | 261% | 30% | 147% | 266% |
Second lowest | 0% | 55% | 0% | 3% | 13% | 0% | 197% | 467% | 0% | 212% | 487% |
Lowest | 0% | 35% | 0% | 5% | 70% | 0% | 121% | 1,917% | 0% | 268% | 2,230% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 90% | 149% | 43% | 90% | 149% |
Second highest | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 43% | 119% | 247% | 43% | 120% | 250% |
Middle | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 31% | 139% | 330% | 32% | 141% | 336% |
Second lowest | 0% | 55% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 176% | 565% | 9% | 184% | 598% |
Lowest | 0% | 36% | 0% | 10% | 71% | 0% | 66% | 922% | 0% | 173% | 1,157% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in benefit/tax ratio at the— | Benefit/tax ratio without proposal at the— |
Benefit/tax ratio with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio decrease | Ratio increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 116% | 343% | 0% | 121% | 414% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 137% | 486% | 21% | 145% | 576% |
Male | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 99% | 245% | 0% | 102% | 280% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 124% | 369% | 0% | 130% | 464% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 17% | 115% | 338% | 25% | 118% | 381% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 112% | 306% | 0% | 119% | 369% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 100% | 327% | 0% | 109% | 457% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 116% | 318% | 17% | 118% | 347% |
Other countries | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 0% | 116% | 475% | 0% | 133% | 695% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 25% | 106% | 255% | 33% | 108% | 281% |
Bachelor | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 103% | 272% | 16% | 106% | 317% |
Associate | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 118% | 309% | 4% | 121% | 344% |
High school | 0% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 124% | 413% | 0% | 131% | 484% |
Less than high school | 0% | 39% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 127% | 547% | 0% | 143% | 741% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 39% | 85% | 121% | 39% | 85% | 121% |
Second highest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 40% | 114% | 170% | 40% | 115% | 172% |
Middle | 0% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 29% | 138% | 246% | 30% | 141% | 249% |
Second lowest | 0% | 58% | 0% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 189% | 452% | 11% | 204% | 470% |
Lowest | 0% | 34% | 0% | 3% | 72% | 0% | 128% | 1,529% | 0% | 233% | 1,923% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 41% | 85% | 121% | 41% | 85% | 121% |
Second highest | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 41% | 116% | 173% | 42% | 116% | 174% |
Middle | 0% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 31% | 139% | 254% | 33% | 142% | 258% |
Second lowest | 0% | 58% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 183% | 414% | 16% | 195% | 440% |
Lowest | 0% | 35% | 0% | 5% | 72% | 0% | 126% | 1,578% | 0% | 247% | 1,950% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 87% | 139% | 44% | 87% | 139% |
Second highest | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 45% | 117% | 231% | 46% | 118% | 235% |
Middle | 0% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 34% | 136% | 307% | 35% | 137% | 313% |
Second lowest | 0% | 56% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 167% | 512% | 16% | 176% | 531% |
Lowest | 0% | 37% | 0% | 10% | 71% | 0% | 89% | 792% | 0% | 177% | 1,081% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in initial replacement rate at the— | Initial replacement rate without proposal at the— |
Initial replacement rate with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate decrease | Rate increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 31% | 1% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 46% | 79% | 24% | 45% | 74% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 43% | 1% | -12% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 90% | 28% | 50% | 83% |
Male | 20% | 1% | -4% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 42% | 66% | 22% | 41% | 63% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 47% | 1% | -11% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 50% | 84% | 27% | 49% | 78% |
White, non-Hispanic | 27% | 1% | -7% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 43% | 74% | 23% | 43% | 70% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 30% | 1% | -7% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 85% | 28% | 50% | 80% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 42% | 3% | -10% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 48% | 90% | 25% | 47% | 85% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 27% | 1% | -7% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 44% | 75% | 23% | 43% | 71% |
Other countries | 51% | 2% | -12% | -1% | 0% | 28% | 53% | 90% | 28% | 51% | 84% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 25% | 1% | -5% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 41% | 71% | 21% | 41% | 68% |
Bachelor | 28% | 1% | -7% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 42% | 77% | 22% | 42% | 71% |
Associate | 30% | 1% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 45% | 74% | 24% | 44% | 69% |
High school | 32% | 1% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 48% | 81% | 26% | 47% | 76% |
Less than high school | 47% | 1% | -12% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 56% | 90% | 33% | 53% | 85% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 31% | 47% | 17% | 31% | 47% |
Second highest | 10% | 0% | -1% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 38% | 56% | 24% | 37% | 55% |
Middle | 33% | 1% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 43% | 63% | 29% | 42% | 61% |
Second lowest | 59% | 2% | -9% | -2% | 0% | 38% | 51% | 77% | 37% | 50% | 72% |
Lowest | 50% | 1% | -22% | 0% | 0% | 53% | 70% | 119% | 50% | 65% | 98% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 33% | 50% | 16% | 33% | 50% |
Second highest | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 37% | 57% | 23% | 37% | 56% |
Middle | 31% | 2% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 43% | 63% | 30% | 42% | 62% |
Second lowest | 60% | 2% | -9% | -2% | 0% | 37% | 50% | 78% | 36% | 50% | 72% |
Lowest | 51% | 1% | -21% | -2% | 0% | 52% | 68% | 113% | 49% | 64% | 94% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 11% | 0% | -1% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 36% | 53% | 18% | 36% | 53% |
Second highest | 21% | 1% | -4% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 38% | 62% | 22% | 38% | 60% |
Middle | 30% | 1% | -6% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 43% | 69% | 27% | 42% | 65% |
Second lowest | 46% | 2% | -10% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 82% | 33% | 49% | 76% |
Lowest | 48% | 2% | -13% | 0% | 0% | 46% | 63% | 92% | 44% | 62% | 90% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in initial replacement rate at the— | Initial replacement rate without proposal at the— |
Initial replacement rate with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate decrease | Rate increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 34% | 1% | -10% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 47% | 85% | 24% | 46% | 77% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 44% | 1% | -13% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 53% | 90% | 27% | 51% | 84% |
Male | 24% | 1% | -5% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 43% | 73% | 22% | 43% | 69% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 35% | 1% | -11% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 90% | 28% | 51% | 84% |
White, non-Hispanic | 30% | 1% | -9% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 45% | 81% | 23% | 44% | 74% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 46% | 1% | -11% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 51% | 83% | 26% | 50% | 75% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 42% | 2% | -10% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 46% | 90% | 22% | 45% | 80% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 32% | 1% | -9% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 46% | 81% | 23% | 45% | 74% |
Other countries | 43% | 2% | -12% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 54% | 90% | 27% | 52% | 88% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 24% | 1% | -5% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 42% | 75% | 21% | 41% | 72% |
Bachelor | 28% | 1% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 43% | 82% | 21% | 42% | 77% |
Associate | 33% | 1% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 45% | 76% | 24% | 45% | 70% |
High school | 40% | 1% | -11% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 89% | 28% | 50% | 79% |
Less than high school | 44% | 2% | -12% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 57% | 90% | 30% | 54% | 87% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 31% | 46% | 16% | 31% | 46% |
Second highest | 12% | 0% | -1% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 38% | 56% | 23% | 38% | 56% |
Middle | 33% | 1% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 45% | 65% | 29% | 44% | 63% |
Second lowest | 63% | 2% | -10% | -2% | 0% | 41% | 55% | 84% | 39% | 53% | 79% |
Lowest | 57% | 2% | -23% | -4% | 0% | 58% | 74% | 135% | 54% | 68% | 110% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 33% | 49% | 16% | 33% | 49% |
Second highest | 12% | 0% | -1% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 37% | 58% | 22% | 37% | 57% |
Middle | 33% | 1% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 45% | 66% | 30% | 44% | 64% |
Second lowest | 61% | 2% | -10% | -2% | 0% | 39% | 54% | 85% | 38% | 53% | 79% |
Lowest | 58% | 2% | -22% | -5% | 0% | 57% | 73% | 127% | 53% | 66% | 105% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 35% | 52% | 17% | 35% | 52% |
Second highest | 19% | 0% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 39% | 62% | 21% | 39% | 60% |
Middle | 35% | 1% | -7% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 44% | 73% | 27% | 44% | 68% |
Second lowest | 52% | 2% | -11% | -1% | 0% | 35% | 53% | 88% | 35% | 51% | 79% |
Lowest | 55% | 2% | -15% | -2% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 108% | 49% | 64% | 96% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in initial replacement rate at the— | Initial replacement rate without proposal at the— |
Initial replacement rate with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate decrease | Rate increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 34% | 1% | -9% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 48% | 84% | 24% | 47% | 77% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 43% | 1% | -13% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 52% | 90% | 28% | 51% | 83% |
Male | 24% | 1% | -6% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 44% | 73% | 22% | 43% | 70% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 32% | 1% | -10% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 88% | 27% | 49% | 80% |
White, non-Hispanic | 31% | 1% | -9% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 46% | 81% | 23% | 45% | 75% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 46% | 2% | -10% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 52% | 84% | 26% | 51% | 76% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 37% | 1% | -9% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 45% | 84% | 22% | 44% | 77% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 32% | 1% | -9% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 47% | 81% | 23% | 46% | 74% |
Other countries | 40% | 2% | -11% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 51% | 90% | 26% | 50% | 84% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 26% | 1% | -6% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 43% | 80% | 21% | 43% | 75% |
Bachelor | 26% | 1% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 42% | 79% | 21% | 41% | 74% |
Associate | 33% | 1% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 47% | 77% | 25% | 47% | 71% |
High school | 39% | 1% | -10% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 50% | 88% | 28% | 49% | 79% |
Less than high school | 43% | 1% | -13% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 57% | 90% | 31% | 55% | 84% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 31% | 47% | 16% | 31% | 47% |
Second highest | 11% | 1% | -1% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 39% | 57% | 24% | 39% | 56% |
Middle | 33% | 1% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 45% | 65% | 31% | 45% | 64% |
Second lowest | 63% | 2% | -10% | -3% | 0% | 41% | 55% | 84% | 40% | 53% | 78% |
Lowest | 57% | 2% | -24% | -4% | 0% | 58% | 74% | 128% | 54% | 67% | 108% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 33% | 49% | 16% | 33% | 49% |
Second highest | 12% | 1% | -1% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 39% | 58% | 23% | 39% | 58% |
Middle | 32% | 1% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 45% | 66% | 31% | 45% | 65% |
Second lowest | 62% | 2% | -10% | -2% | 0% | 40% | 54% | 83% | 39% | 53% | 77% |
Lowest | 58% | 2% | -23% | -5% | 0% | 57% | 73% | 122% | 53% | 67% | 103% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 35% | 51% | 16% | 35% | 51% |
Second highest | 20% | 1% | -3% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 63% | 22% | 40% | 61% |
Middle | 33% | 1% | -6% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 45% | 72% | 29% | 45% | 69% |
Second lowest | 53% | 2% | -11% | -1% | 0% | 37% | 53% | 88% | 36% | 52% | 79% |
Lowest | 55% | 2% | -15% | -2% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 102% | 48% | 64% | 93% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
For projected effects on the Social Security trust funds, see the Actuary's provision B7.3.